Biffle leads 1-2-3 sweep in Texas qualifying

Autoracing Betting Lines

11/04/2011 - Fort Worth, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Greg Biffle claimed the pole for the AAA Texas 500 after beating his Roush Fenway Racing teammate, David Ragan, by the slimmest of margins in Friday's qualifying at Texas Motor Speedway.

Biffle, who was quickest in practice earlier in the day, turned a lap at 193.736 mph around the fast 1.5-mile track for his third pole of the season and the ninth of his Sprint Cup Series career. He won the spring 2005 race at Texas.

"Being a former winner here and running good at this racetrack, that gives me a lot of confidence going into this weekend," Biffle said. "The car was really fast right off the track."

Biffle's lap, the fastest in all of the Sprint Cup qualifying sessions so far this year, was only 0.001 seconds quicker than Ragan's lap.

"I didn't really think we would have a shot at the pole going into qualifying," Ragan said. "That was close. I told Greg that he just barely beat me. That's cool to be that fast in qualifying."

Biffle and Ragan are not in this year's Chase for the Sprint Cup championship field.

Matt Kenseth, also from Roush Fenway, was the highest finishing Chase driver in qualifying with a third-place showing. Kenseth won here in April.

Paul Menard took the fourth spot, while Tony Stewart, who won last Sunday at Martinsville, qualified fifth.

David Reutimann, Carl Edwards, the current points leader, Brad Keselowski, Kasey Kahne and Regan Smith completed the top-10.

With three races to go, Edwards holds just an eight-point advantage over Stewart. Edwards has the most victories at Texas with three.

"We wanted to be a little bit better than that," Edwards said after his seventh-place finish in qualifying. "It is a good starting spot. We focused hard on qualifying here. We had an opportunity to go out there and sit on the pole. And now we just work on the race trim."

Kevin Harvick, who is 21 points behind Edwards, qualified 21st. Keselowski is 27 points out of the lead, while Kenseth trails his teammate by 36 markers.

David Stremme, David Starr and Reed Sorenson failed to qualify.

Sunday's 500-mile race at Texas is scheduled to start just after 3:00 p.m. (et).

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Betting Football

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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.